Statistics and the Pope

Dr Julian Sander, Dr. Luciana Dalla Valle  and collaborators have written an interesting article about the life expectancy of the Pope.  The current Pope, jokingly announced  that he  expected to live another two or three years.

In their article, the authors use Bayesian statistics with the data from the life spans of previous Popes, to show that the current Pope will probably live much longer than a few years.

The paper was discussed on a radio show on the BBC.